POLLS UPDATE:
Late last night on Twitter, @toryatsea (yes I do have quite a few Tory friends on Twitter, I know!) was bemoaning the ‘poll obsessives’ – something I concede from my sick bed, I have become. This was following the latest YouGov tracker poll for The Sun, continuing to show only a 6% Tory lead.
The tracker poll is an interesting beast. My understanding is there is a set sample and each day, the oldest data drops off and a similar new sample is added. In theory, any switches in support over events, should be immediately apparent, rather than having to wait for the next monthly poll to be produced. Of course, the usual points about margins of error, etc., still apply.
The most interesting thing about the YouGov tracker (as at 24th February in any case) is that there has been very little movement, despite all the media hype over ‘Bully-gate’. Whether this factors into subsequent polls still remains to be seen, but the YouGov tracker is also in line with all the other current published polls (except the Angus Reid polls which are wildly out on anything else published!)
YouGov Tracker Poll:
| CON | LAB | LD | Lead | |
| 24 Feb | 38% | 32% | 17% | Con +6% |
| 23 Feb | 39% | 33% | 17% | Con +6% |
| 19 Feb | 39% | 33% | 17% | Con +6% |
| 18 Feb | 39% | 32% | 18% | Con +7% |
| 17 Feb | 39% | 30% | 18% | Con +9% |
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VULTURE FUNDS:
My Debt Relief (Developing Countries) Bill has its second reading on Friday. As I mentioned in my earlier blog piece, Sally Keeble MP (pictured) has very kindly agreed to take the Bill forward for me on Friday – and until I can properly return to work following my recent health problems. The text of the Bill and Explanatory Notes can be found here.
And here’s a piece from today’s Guardian too.
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